5G uptake faster than expected | Mobile | News | Rapid TV News
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Research from Ericsson has found that the rapid early momentum and enthusiasm it expected for 5G technology uptake has been somewhat underestimated and the company forecasts 1.9 billion 5G subscriptions by the end of 2024, up 27% on a November 2018 prediction.
ericsson 5G 8May2019
In the June 2019 edition of the Ericsson Mobility Report, the communications technology and services firm believes 5G coverage will reach 45% of the world’s population over the next five years, carrying just over a third of the global mobile traffic. Yet Ericsson points out that reach could actually get as high as 65% as spectrum sharing technology enables 5G deployments on LTE frequency bands. In addition, service providers in some markets are also setting more ambitious targets for population coverage of up to 90% within the first year of implementation.

Ericsson’s research found that strong commitment from chipset and device vendors was also key to the acceleration of 5G adoption. Smartphones for all main spectrum bands are slated to hit the market over the course of this year and as 5G devices increasingly become available and more 5G networks go live, the study projects more than 10 million worldwide 5G subscriptions by the end of 2019.

The uptake of 5G subscriptions is expected to be fastest in North America, with 63% of anticipated mobile subscriptions in the region being for 5G in 2024. North East Asia follows in second place (47%), and Europe in third (40%).

The study also revealed that total mobile data traffic continued to soar globally in Q1 2019, rising 82% year-on-year. It is predicted to reach 131 exabytes (EB) per month by the end of 2024.

Video traffic in mobile networks is forecast to grow by around 34% annually up to 2024 to account for nearly three-quarters of mobile data traffic, from approximately 60% in 2018. Ericsson found that mobile video traffic growth was being driven by the increase of embedded video in many online applications, growth of video-on-demand (VOD) streaming services in terms of both subscribers and viewing time per subscriber, and the perpetual evolution towards higher screen resolutions on smart devices. The Ericsson Mobility Report noted that all of these factors have been influenced by the increasing penetration of video-capable smart devices.

“5G is definitely taking off and at a rapid pace,” said Ericsson executive vice president and head of networks Fredrik Jejdling. “This reflects the service providers’ and consumers’ enthusiasm for the technology....However, the full benefits of 5G can only be reaped with the establishment of a solid ecosystem in which technology, regulatory, security, and industry partners all have a part to play.”