Video to represent four-fifths of global mobile data traffic by 2022 | Mobile | News | Rapid TV News
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By 2022, global mobile data traffic will reach 930 exabytes annually — the equivalent of all the movies ever made crossing global networks every five minutes — with rocketing video usage to account for 79% of traffic says the latest Cisco released its annual Mobile Visual Networking Index.
Cisco MVNI20FEB2019
That would mean that by 2022, mobile traffic will represent nearly 20% of global IP traffic, nearly 113 times more than all global mobile traffic generated just ten years prior. The MVNI found that over the next five years, that the number mobile users worldwide will increase by half a billion to 5.5 billion users, which represents about 71% of the global population. By 2022, said the report, mobile networks are projected to support more than eight billion personal mobile devices.

Cisco found that mobile video traffic accounted for 59% of total mobile data traffic in 2017 and estimates that its take-up will increase 9-fold between 2017 and 2022, accounting for 79% of total mobile data traffic by the end of the forecast period. Mobile video is projected to grow at a CAGR of 55% between 2017 and 2022, higher than the overall average mobile traffic CAGR of 46%. Cisco believes that one consequence of the growth of video in both fixed and mobile contexts is the resulting acceleration of busy- hour traffic in relation to average traffic growth. Video usage tends to occur during evening hours and has a prime time unlike general web usage that occurs throughout the day. As a result, more video usage means more traffic during the peak hours of the day.

The report also underlines the role 5G networks will play in future communications. It predicts that by 2022, 5G connections will represent over 3% of total mobile connections (more than 422 million global 5G devices and M2M connections) and will account for nearly 12% of global mobile data traffic. Cisco calculates that by 2022, the average 5G connection (22 GB/month) will generate about 3X more traffic than the average 4G connection (8 GB/month).

However, Cisco cautioned that as many business models emerge with new forms of advertising, media and content partnerships and mobile services — including live gaming and augmented/virtual reality — a mutually beneficial situation needs to be developed for service providers and over-the-top providers.

It noted that as new partnerships, ecosystems, and strategic consolidations further transform the wireless networking landscape — with mobile operators, content providers, application developers and others seeking to monetise the content, services and communications that traverse mobile networks — operators must solve the challenge of effectively monetising video traffic while developing profitable business cases that support capital infrastructure expenditures needed for 5G.

“As global mobile traffic approaches the zettabyte era, we believe that 5G and Wi-Fi will coexist as necessary and complementary access technologies, offering key benefits to our enterprise and service provider customers to extend their architectures,” said Jonathan Davidson, senior vice president and general manager, service provider business, Cisco commenting on the Cisco Mobile VNI Forecast.